Everton and Brentford will cap off a restricted Premier League slate Sunday, and I think the incorrect group is favored.
Though Everton is still in the midst of a relegation struggle, Brentford has confirmed the far far better side of late. Throughout every side’s previous six fixtures, Brentford keep a +2.8 anticipated purpose differential while Everton keep a -.3 xGDiff.
Additionally, Brentford’s attack has demonstrated much remarkable. Across individuals same 6 fixtures, the Bees have generated 1.58 envisioned targets per 90 minutes although the Toffees have developed only 1.06 expected aims per 90 minutes.
This is also a Brentford aspect that has tested able of profitable details in opposition to base-50 percent sides. In its past five this kind of fixtures, supervisor Thomas Frank’s facet is 4--1 (W-L-D) and has a +4.6 anticipated objective differential in these fixtures.
For all of Everton’s “success” of late, its defense has still struggled to maintain, even in opposition to mediocre opposition. In its previous 5 fixtures towards bottom-50 percent sides exterior the relegation zone, supervisor Frank Lampard’s aspect is 1-4- (W-L-D) and is conceding 1.44 anticipated objectives for every 90 minutes.
Finally, Brentford offers a matchup problem for Everton. The Bees are first in xG off set parts this period even though Everton are fifth-worst in set piece defense.
The Play: Brentford Draw, No Guess (+145).
0 Commentaires