Tottenham Hotspur are in a should-get location on Saturday, needing to get 3 points in opposition to Brentford to retain speed with everlasting rivals Arsenal in the race for the closing Champions League place. Spurs and Arsenal have the identical history (18W-3D-11L) as a result of 32 video games, with each groups in motion on Saturday.
When Tottenham is a deserving favourite in excess of Brentford, the Bees are no pushover. A person of the Leading League’s most effective tales this year, Brentford are just two details at the rear of Leicester for a location in the leading-50 % of the desk.
Several teams are in greater kind than Brentford over the earlier 6 weeks. Given that March 1, the Bees have won 5 of six matches with a +9 target differential and a +6.26 anticipated purpose differential. The Bees have been fantastic defensively, only allowing for 5 objectives and 5.92 xG in that span.
That defense will be set to the take a look at in opposition to Harry Kane, Son Heung-min and Spurs, but there are some alerts that point to Brentford currently being in a position to retain this Tottenham attack in test. While the Spurs have run rampant for the previous couple months, the offense has been around-carrying out by a considerable margin. Tottenham has scored an outstanding 21 targets in its past 7 matches, but its xG implies that selection really should be nearer to 15. Furthermore, Tottenham have been just blanked by Brighton & Hove Albion final weekend, a team that does similar points properly to Brentford.
With wins around Arsenal and Chelsea, furthermore a draw against Liverpool, Brentford have demonstrated to be a team that punches up very well this time. The Bees have also performed really properly at house, posting a +8.12 xG differential in 16 matches at the Brentford Local community Stadium.
Tottenham continue to has some regression coming for it and this price seems to be to be inflated because of the ought to-acquire narrative bordering the favorites.
The Guess: Brentford +320
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